No gut feeling.
Just data, several seasons of statistics,
one consistent method.

How the model works

For each match, our system draws on an extensive history of real data: team and player results and statistics across several seasons, recent form trends, and contextual factors (probable line-ups, absences, fixture schedule). This history feeds several complementary statistical models, whose results are systematically cross-checked before any conclusion is drawn — never a single model in isolation, never a hunch.

The market highlighted for each match is selected automatically according to deterministic statistical criteria, with no manual intervention. The probability shown is the model's own, never adjusted after the fact. A language model then writes the explanatory text that accompanies this choice, but it does not calculate, choose or modify any figure: the probabilities, odds, selected market and reliability level are determined entirely by our statistical method, never by that text.

The concept of value: our model compares its calculated probability with the odds offered by bookmakers. When our estimate differs significantly from the one implied by the odds, this is called a "value bet" — odds that the market may have mispriced. The exact details of our calculation method are proprietary and are not publicly disclosed.

One model per match, no combo bets

At its core, the system analyses each match independently — one single bet at a time, never combinations of several bets.

What you need to know

• IASHARK is not a sports betting operator. We do not take any stakes, manage any player accounts or pay out any winnings. To place a real bet in France, you must use an operator licensed by the ANJ (Autorité Nationale des Jeux, the French gambling regulator).
• We are not financial advisers, licensed professional traders or sports betting professionals. IASHARK is a statistical analysis tool for informational and educational purposes — in no way an investment, trading or betting advisory service.
• For information only. The analyses, statistics, probabilities and reliability indicators published here are provided purely for informational and educational purposes. They constitute neither financial advice nor a guarantee of results.
• No liability can be accepted for any financial loss resulting from decisions made on the basis of this site's content. You alone are responsible for your gambling decisions and their consequences.
• Sport is unpredictable. No statistical model, however rigorous, can predict a sporting outcome with certainty.
• Past performance ≠ future performance. A positive long-term statistical edge does not prevent short-term losing streaks. The model and methodology described on this page may change without notice.
• Content ownership. The analyses, texts and methodology presented on this site are the property of IASHARK and may not be reproduced without prior permission.
• Adults only (18 and over).