01
The signal
The market where the model finds the widest gap against the bookmakers' price.
15 competitions · analysis published before kick-off
Understand the match.
Find the right market that's fair.
IASHARK turns millions of sports data points into one clear, explained and measurable decision.
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SELECTING THE MATCH TO WATCH…
15 COMPETITIONS COVERED
Today's decisions
Today's matches where the model and the market disagree enough to matter.
Today's AI analyses — 2026-09-12
- 11:00 — Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale (J1 League) — confidence 7.4/10
- 11:30 — Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League) — confidence 6.4/10
- 12:00 — Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) — confidence 7/10
- 12:00 — V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) — confidence 6.5/10
- 12:00 — Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo (J1 League) — confidence 6/10
- 12:00 — Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos (J1 League) — confidence 5.8/10
- 14:00 — Racing Santander vs Alaves (La Liga) — confidence 6.4/10
- 15:00 — Genoa vs Frosinone (Serie A) — confidence 8/10
- 15:00 — AIK Stockholm vs Vasteras SK FK (Allsvenskan) — confidence 7.5/10
- 15:30 — SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (Bundesliga) — confidence 6.8/10
- 15:30 — FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga) — confidence 7.7/10
- 15:30 — Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 (Bundesliga) — confidence 7.9/10
- 15:30 — 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga) — confidence 7/10
- 15:30 — FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga) — confidence 8/10
- 16:00 — Bournemouth vs Brentford (Premier League) — AI pick: Au plus 3 buts dans le match (confidence 7.2/10)
- 16:00 — Liverpool vs Fulham (Premier League) — confidence 7.3/10
- 16:00 — Chelsea vs Hull City (Premier League) — confidence 7.3/10
- 16:00 — Crystal Palace vs Ipswich (Premier League) — confidence 6.3/10
- 16:00 — Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest (Premier League) — confidence 6.5/10
- 16:15 — Osasuna vs Espanyol (La Liga) — confidence 7/10
- 16:30 — Twente vs ADO Den Haag (Eredivisie) — confidence 6.9/10
- 16:30 — Nacional vs Alverca (Primeira Liga) — confidence 7.5/10
- 17:15 — Strasbourg vs Monaco (Ligue 1) — confidence 7.7/10
- 17:30 — IFK Goteborg vs Halmstad (Allsvenskan) — confidence 7.7/10
- 18:00 — Lazio vs AC Milan (Serie A) — confidence 6.8/10
- 18:30 — Tottenham vs Everton (Premier League) — confidence 7.8/10
- 18:30 — Athletic Club vs Elche (La Liga) — confidence 7.8/10
- 18:30 — 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen (Bundesliga) — confidence 7/10
- 18:45 — GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen (Eredivisie) — confidence 7.4/10
- 19:00 — Casa Pia vs FC Porto (Primeira Liga) — confidence 7.2/10
- 20:00 — Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax (Eredivisie) — confidence 6.5/10
- 20:45 — Atalanta vs Cagliari (Serie A) — confidence 7/10
- 20:45 — Lorient vs Toulouse (Ligue 1) — confidence 7.5/10
- 20:45 — Auxerre vs Nice (Ligue 1) — confidence 7.7/10
- 20:45 — Le Havre vs Angers (Ligue 1) — confidence 7.7/10
- 20:45 — Paris FC vs Lyon (Ligue 1) — confidence 7.2/10
- 21:00 — Sunderland vs Arsenal (Premier League) — confidence 7.1/10
- 21:00 — Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano (La Liga) — confidence 7.9/10
- 21:00 — Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie) — confidence 6.6/10
- 21:30 — Academico Viseu vs Vitória SC (Primeira Liga) — confidence 7.1/10
LOADING ANALYSES...
WHAT YOU GET
An analysis, not a tip thrown at you with no explanation.
02
The reasoning
The data and factors that led the model there, written in plain words.
03
The uncertainty
When the data isn't solid enough, no signal is published. We say it, we don't hide it.
WHAT THE ENGINE HAS PROCESSED
—Analyses published
13Competitions covered
4Models cross-checked
—Matches analysed today
WHAT WE WON'T DO
We'd rather tell you when we don't know.
A model that finds a signal in every match isn't finding signals — it's manufacturing them.
No promise of profit
A bet stays a bet. We compute probabilities; we guarantee no outcome.
The gap shows even when it hurts you
If the offered odds are worse than our estimate, we say so in black and white.
An analysis is never rewritten after the match
It is published before kick-off and stays exactly as it was, win or lose.
No forced signal
When no market clears our thresholds, we say so instead of inventing a bet.
ACCESS
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- Identified market and confidence level
- Detailed explanation of the signal
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THE METHOD
Four models, one signal per match.
Each model answers a different question. A signal only comes out where their answers converge.
- Poisson
Distribution of expected goals for each team.
- Dixon-Coles
Correction of the low scorelines pure Poisson underestimates.
- Monte Carlo
Thousands of simulations for a robust distribution.
- Elo & Shin
True strength over time, and removal of the odds bias.
IASHARK signal
One priority market, one probability, and the measured gap against the market price.
IN PRACTICE
From raw data to a usable signal.
- 01
We ingest the data
Fixtures, likely line-ups, head-to-heads and xG statistics, competition by competition.
- 02
The models compute
Poisson, Dixon-Coles and Monte Carlo run in parallel on every market.
- 03
You get the signal
One clear sheet: probability, reliability, and the gap found against the real market.
FREQUENTLY ASKED
What you're wondering before you pay.
Can I try before paying?
Yes. One full analysis is free every day, no card required. You see exactly what a subscriber gets.
Does IASHARK guarantee winnings?
No, and nobody can. The model looks for markets where the computed probability diverges from the market's. It is a method, not a guarantee.
How is the signal computed?
Four models run in parallel — Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Monte Carlo, Elo and Shin. The chosen market is the one where their probabilities converge and diverge most from the bookmakers' price.
What happens when the data isn't enough?
No signal is published for that match. It is stated explicitly rather than replaced by a filler bet.
Which competitions are covered?
Thirteen competitions, including Ligue 1, the Premier League, LaLiga, Serie A, the Bundesliga, the Champions League and the Europa League. The full list scrolls at the top of this page.
Can I cancel any time?
Yes, in one click from your account. No commitment, no notice, no reason needed.
How often are the analyses updated?
Every day, before kick-off. A published analysis is never rewritten afterwards.